Necaxa vs San Luis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
17.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2005 |
AME
4 - 1
NEC
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
CHI
1 - 2
NEC
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
NEC
4 - 3
SAN
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
DOR
1 - 1
NEC
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2005 |
NEC
3 - 2
TIG
34%
27%
39%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
San Luis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
SNL
1 - 2
CHI
30%
25%
45%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
SAN
3 - 1
SNL
69%
18%
13%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
SNL
4 - 1
DOR
44%
25%
32%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
TIG
1 - 0
SNL
72%
17%
11%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2005 |
SNL
2 - 2
ATL
39%
26%
35%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |