Necaxa vs San Luis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2003 |
MON
2 - 1
NEC
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
NEC
0 - 0
AUR
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2003 |
MOR
6 - 0
NEC
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
PUM
4 - 4
NEC
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2003 |
NEC
0 - 0
MOR
45%
26%
30%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
San Luis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2003 |
ATS
1 - 1
SNL
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
SNL
2 - 3
TOL
29%
24%
47%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
MON
3 - 1
SNL
50%
25%
26%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
SNL
0 - 3
AUR
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
PUM
2 - 2
SNL
64%
20%
16%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |