Necaxa vs Querétaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
14.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
MOR
3 - 3
NEC
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
NEC
1 - 1
PAC
54%
25%
21%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
JAG
1 - 1
NEC
24%
26%
50%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
NEC
2 - 0
ATL
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
SAN
1 - 1
NEC
58%
20%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Querétaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
QRO
1 - 2
CHI
31%
27%
42%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
TOL
2 - 0
QRO
81%
13%
7%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
QRO
1 - 7
TIG
25%
26%
49%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
IRA
2 - 1
QRO
43%
26%
32%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
MOR
3 - 2
QRO
73%
17%
10%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |