Necaxa vs Pumas Morelos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
13.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
IRA
1 - 1
NEC
36%
29%
36%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
NEC
1 - 2
UDG
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2013 |
TOR
0 - 1
NEC
46%
24%
30%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2013 |
NEC
3 - 0
TOR
54%
23%
23%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
NEC
3 - 3
ALT
65%
22%
13%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Pumas Morelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
PUM
3 - 1
TOR
35%
29%
36%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
MER
1 - 1
PUM
52%
27%
22%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
PUM
1 - 1
EST
28%
26%
45%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
PUM
3 - 0
IRA
26%
27%
47%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
UDG
3 - 0
PUM
44%
28%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |