Necaxa vs Puebla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
37.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
NEC
1 - 0
LOB
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
PUE
1 - 0
NEC
55%
25%
21%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
TEP
2 - 1
NEC
31%
29%
40%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
UAT
1 - 0
NEC
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2014 |
NEC
1 - 1
MOR
31%
26%
43%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
MON
1 - 0
PUE
63%
22%
15%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
PUE
1 - 0
NEC
55%
25%
21%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
PUE
1 - 1
TIG
34%
29%
37%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
CAZ
1 - 0
PUE
59%
24%
18%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
PUE
2 - 0
TOR
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | +1 |