Necaxa vs Puebla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
22.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
PUM
2 - 0
NEC
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2008 |
SAN
1 - 1
NEC
67%
20%
14%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2008 |
NEC
1 - 2
SAN
33%
26%
41%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
NEC
0 - 0
ATS
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2008 |
ATS
1 - 1
NEC
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
PUE
2 - 2
MON
36%
26%
38%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
PUE
2 - 2
ATL
38%
27%
36%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
CHI
4 - 0
PUE
69%
19%
13%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
PUE
5 - 2
PAC
29%
26%
46%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
VER
0 - 2
PUE
59%
23%
19%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |