Necaxa vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
44.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CAÑ
2 - 1
NEC
36%
26%
38%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
NEC
0 - 0
ALE
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 4
NEC
61%
21%
18%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +2 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
AUR
0 - 1
NEC
47%
26%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
NEC
4 - 1
LEO
18%
21%
61%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | +2 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
LEO
1 - 2
MOR
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 4
NEC
61%
21%
18%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 0
CHI
47%
27%
27%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
MOR
4 - 5
ZAC
66%
19%
15%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 1
TOL
34%
27%
40%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |