Necaxa vs Venados FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
33.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
IRA
1 - 0
NEC
28%
27%
45%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
NEC
2 - 1
ALE
41%
29%
31%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
NEC
2 - 1
TEP
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 2015 |
ALT
2 - 0
NEC
36%
27%
38%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
TEP
3 - 0
NEC
45%
24%
30%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
MER
2 - 1
UAT
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
PUE
2 - 1
MER
57%
23%
19%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CAÑ
0 - 1
MER
41%
28%
31%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
MER
2 - 0
ATL
52%
23%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
MER
3 - 0
ZAC
56%
24%
19%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |