Necaxa vs Venados FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
15.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
NEC
2 - 0
PUM
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
PUM
1 - 1
NEC
26%
30%
45%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
NEC
1 - 0
SNL
45%
25%
30%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
NEC
6 - 4
IRA
49%
27%
24%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
UDG
1 - 1
NEC
28%
30%
43%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 2
MER
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
MER
1 - 0
TOR
32%
29%
40%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2012 |
MER
3 - 1
PUM
20%
27%
53%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
EST
2 - 0
MER
71%
19%
10%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
PUM
0 - 0
MER
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |