Necaxa vs León analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
PUM
1 - 0
NEC
49%
23%
28%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
NEC
1 - 1
CAZ
44%
24%
32%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2002 |
REB
3 - 1
NEC
34%
25%
41%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
ATS
1 - 3
NEC
48%
23%
29%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2002 |
NEC
1 - 2
MOR
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
LEO
2 - 3
PUE
43%
25%
32%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
LEO
2 - 4
PUM
32%
27%
41%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2002 |
CAZ
3 - 1
LEO
79%
13%
8%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
LEO
2 - 1
REB
44%
25%
31%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
LEO
1 - 1
ATS
26%
25%
49%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |