Necaxa vs Chivas Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
32%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
TOL
2 - 2
NEC
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
NEC
2 - 1
TIG
36%
27%
37%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2004 |
QRO
1 - 1
NEC
24%
25%
51%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
NEC
2 - 1
MOR
40%
28%
32%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
PAC
0 - 0
NEC
45%
26%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Chivas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
CHI
2 - 0
IRA
63%
22%
15%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
CHI
0 - 0
TOL
37%
27%
37%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2004 |
TIG
4 - 2
CHI
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
CHI
2 - 0
QRO
68%
20%
12%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
MOR
0 - 1
CHI
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |