Necaxa vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
10.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1998 |
MON
1 - 0
NEC
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1998 |
ULA
0 - 0
NEC
20%
24%
56%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1998 |
UNI
0 - 0
NEC
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1998 |
EST
0 - 0
NEC
26%
25%
49%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1998 |
NEC
2 - 2
MON
51%
22%
27%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1998 |
ULA
0 - 2
EST
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1998 |
EST
3 - 0
MON
21%
24%
54%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 1998 |
EST
0 - 0
NEC
26%
25%
49%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1998 |
EST
3 - 2
ULA
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 1987 |
EST
0 - 3
TAC
47%
27%
26%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |