Necaxa vs Celaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
NEC
3 - 2
DOR
45%
26%
28%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
CAZ
1 - 2
NEC
37%
27%
36%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
TOR
4 - 1
NEC
38%
26%
36%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
NEC
1 - 0
TOR
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
QRO
2 - 0
NEC
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
EST
2 - 0
TOR
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
TOR
2 - 1
AUR
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
TOR
4 - 1
NEC
38%
26%
36%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
NEC
1 - 0
TOR
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
ATS
0 - 1
TOR
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |