Necaxa vs Cafetaleros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
14.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
NEC
2 - 0
TOR
56%
25%
19%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
AME
3 - 1
NEC
78%
15%
8%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
MER
1 - 0
NEC
32%
29%
39%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
NEC
1 - 4
AME
25%
26%
49%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
NEC
1 - 0
PUM
65%
22%
13%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Cafetaleros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2013 |
TOR
3 - 0
CAF
61%
20%
19%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
CAF
1 - 1
TOR
36%
24%
40%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
CAF
1 - 3
AME
16%
21%
64%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2013 |
AME
2 - 0
CAF
90%
8%
3%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
CAF
0 - 2
MER
43%
28%
30%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |