NEC Nijmegen vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
31.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1997 |
AJA
5 - 0
NEC
88%
10%
3%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1997 |
UTR
1 - 1
NEC
57%
25%
19%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1997 |
NEC
3 - 0
VOL
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1997 |
TWE
3 - 0
NEC
77%
16%
7%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1997 |
NEC
0 - 0
GRO
39%
26%
35%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1997 |
WIL
1 - 1
SPA
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1997 |
WIL
0 - 2
FEY
29%
25%
46%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1997 |
SCH
3 - 1
WIL
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1997 |
NAC
0 - 1
WIL
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1997 |
WIL
2 - 2
AZA
66%
19%
15%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |