NEC Nijmegen vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
30%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1991 |
VIT
0 - 0
NEC
68%
22%
10%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1991 |
NEC
1 - 2
VOL
44%
28%
28%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1991 |
NEC
2 - 1
MVV
50%
25%
24%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1991 |
NEC
2 - 1
SVV
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1991 |
SPA
3 - 1
NEC
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1991 |
WIL
0 - 2
UTR
62%
21%
17%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1991 |
VOL
0 - 0
WIL
59%
22%
19%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1991 |
WIL
1 - 2
GRO
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1991 |
TWE
2 - 0
WIL
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1991 |
WIL
3 - 2
FOR
59%
22%
19%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |