NEC Nijmegen vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
30.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1990 |
BOS
1 - 0
NEC
60%
25%
15%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1990 |
NEC
1 - 1
GRO
31%
28%
41%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1990 |
HFC
1 - 1
NEC
51%
27%
22%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1990 |
NEC
0 - 0
FEY
25%
25%
50%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1990 |
FOR
1 - 1
NEC
66%
22%
13%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1990 |
WIL
2 - 2
RJC
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1990 |
WIL
1 - 1
VIT
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1990 |
BOS
1 - 1
WIL
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1990 |
WIL
3 - 0
GRO
36%
27%
37%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1990 |
HFC
0 - 2
WIL
46%
27%
28%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |