NEC Nijmegen vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
23.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1981 |
FEY
1 - 1
NEC
84%
11%
5%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1981 |
NEC
0 - 2
TWE
19%
27%
54%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1981 |
MVV
0 - 0
NEC
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1981 |
NEC
0 - 0
AJA
14%
22%
64%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1981 |
NEC
2 - 2
SPA
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1981 |
WIL
2 - 5
ZWO
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1981 |
AZA
3 - 3
WIL
84%
11%
5%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1981 |
WIL
2 - 1
ADO
55%
23%
22%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1981 |
GRO
0 - 2
WIL
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1981 |
WIL
2 - 1
EXC
64%
22%
15%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |