NEC Nijmegen vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
22.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1980 |
AZA
3 - 0
NEC
81%
13%
7%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1980 |
ZWO
1 - 0
NEC
57%
24%
20%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1980 |
NEC
0 - 3
TWE
17%
26%
57%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 1980 |
RJC
2 - 0
NEC
69%
19%
12%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1980 |
FEY
2 - 1
NEC
79%
14%
7%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1980 |
WIL
3 - 1
NAC
54%
26%
21%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1980 |
ZWO
2 - 2
WIL
59%
23%
19%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1980 |
WIL
3 - 0
GAE
43%
26%
32%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +2 |
| 20 Jan. 1980 |
WIL
1 - 0
TWE
18%
25%
57%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 1980 |
AJA
7 - 1
WIL
88%
8%
4%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |