NEC Nijmegen vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
33.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2005 |
NEC
2 - 2
NAC
41%
25%
34%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2005 |
HER
0 - 2
NEC
58%
22%
20%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
NEC
3 - 1
RBC
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
AZA
3 - 2
NEC
76%
16%
9%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2005 |
SCH
2 - 1
NEC
68%
19%
13%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
SPA
2 - 3
RJC
46%
23%
30%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2005 |
WIL
0 - 0
SPA
49%
24%
28%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
SPA
1 - 2
AJA
24%
23%
53%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
SPA
2 - 0
HER
54%
23%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2005 |
GRO
2 - 1
SPA
35%
25%
40%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -2 |