NEC Nijmegen vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
NEC
2 - 1
PSV
15%
19%
66%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1999 |
NEC
0 - 4
SCH
28%
25%
47%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
SCH
1 - 2
NEC
70%
18%
12%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 1999 |
RKC
4 - 2
NEC
60%
21%
19%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
FEY
2 - 1
NEC
81%
13%
6%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
SPA
1 - 2
AJA
18%
21%
60%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1999 |
TWE
3 - 2
SPA
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1999 |
FOR
3 - 2
SPA
68%
19%
13%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
SPA
3 - 6
AZA
39%
25%
36%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1999 |
SPA
1 - 2
RJC
28%
25%
47%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |