NEC Nijmegen vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
39.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1996 |
AZA
2 - 2
NEC
58%
24%
18%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1996 |
NEC
1 - 1
FOR
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1996 |
NEC
2 - 2
UTR
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
VOL
1 - 0
NEC
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1996 |
NEC
1 - 1
SCH
31%
25%
44%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1996 |
TWE
0 - 2
SPA
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1996 |
SPA
0 - 3
VOL
75%
16%
9%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
SPA
4 - 0
RJC
35%
26%
40%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
SCH
0 - 0
SPA
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1996 |
AZA
1 - 2
SPA
38%
27%
35%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |