NEC Nijmegen vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
40.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1971 |
ADO
4 - 0
NEC
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
NEC
0 - 2
TWE
35%
30%
35%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
AJA
1 - 0
NEC
87%
10%
4%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1971 |
NEC
1 - 0
BOS
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1971 |
VOL
0 - 1
NEC
47%
28%
25%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1971 |
SPA
1 - 1
PSV
50%
25%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1971 |
SPA
1 - 1
CRV
59%
21%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
NAC
3 - 3
SPA
31%
28%
41%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
SPA
3 - 3
GRO
82%
13%
5%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1971 |
SPA
2 - 0
LSO
66%
19%
16%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |