Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 2-1
NEC Nijmegen vs SK Brann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
25.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1983 |
NEC
2 - 3
RJC
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1983 |
ZWO
1 - 0
NEC
58%
25%
17%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1983 |
NEC
0 - 0
TWE
33%
27%
41%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1983 |
NEC
2 - 2
GRO
41%
25%
33%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1983 |
PSV
2 - 0
NEC
86%
11%
4%
|
61 | 87 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
SK Brann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1983 |
VIF
2 - 4
BBS
78%
14%
8%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1983 |
BBS
0 - 2
MOS
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1983 |
BBS
4 - 0
LSK
36%
28%
37%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 1983 |
BRY
0 - 2
BBS
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 1983 |
BBS
0 - 0
ETO
54%
25%
22%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |