NEC Nijmegen vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
45.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
7º
16º
8º
51
1º
2º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
48 | 75 |
1º
|
45% | |
|
|
1º
|
51 | 74 |
2º
|
38.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 63 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 63 |
4º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 61 |
5º
|
28.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 59 |
6º
|
34.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 50 |
7º
|
52% | |
|
|
11º
|
24 | 42 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 42 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 41 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 40 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 39 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 39 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 38 |
14º
|
8.5% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 36 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 35 |
16º
|
23% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 26 |
17º
|
59.5% | |
|
18º
|
13 | 22 |
18º
|
81% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 52.5% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 38.5% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 6% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 2% |
|
Next round
|
37.5% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
60% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
NEC
4 - 1
FOR
57%
22%
21%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
ZWO
0 - 1
NEC
33%
25%
42%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
MON
2 - 2
NEC
63%
20%
16%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
WIL
4 - 1
NEC
38%
25%
37%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2024 |
HER
1 - 0
NEC
33%
24%
44%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
PSV
3 - 2
LIV
9%
14%
77%
|
88 | 98 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
PSV
3 - 2
NAC
74%
16%
11%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
CRV
2 - 3
PSV
34%
22%
44%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
ZWO
3 - 1
PSV
20%
21%
59%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
PSV
5 - 4
EXC
75%
15%
10%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |