NEC Nijmegen vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
57.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
SPA
3 - 0
NEC
64%
21%
16%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
NEC
0 - 0
ADO
42%
27%
32%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1978 |
VVV
1 - 1
NEC
51%
25%
25%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1978 |
NEC
0 - 0
AMS
55%
25%
21%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1978 |
VOL
2 - 0
NEC
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1978 |
TEL
1 - 1
PSV
18%
23%
59%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1978 |
PSV
1 - 1
VVV
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1978 |
MAG
1 - 0
PSV
58%
22%
21%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
AMS
0 - 7
PSV
23%
24%
54%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1978 |
PSV
3 - 1
VOL
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |