NEC Nijmegen vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1983 |
HFC
2 - 0
NEC
69%
20%
11%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1983 |
NEC
0 - 4
AJA
16%
21%
63%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1983 |
GAE
5 - 1
NEC
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1983 |
NEC
2 - 2
FOR
53%
24%
22%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1983 |
HEL
1 - 0
NEC
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1983 |
NAC
1 - 5
PSV
13%
23%
64%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1983 |
SPA
4 - 0
NAC
78%
14%
8%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1983 |
NAC
0 - 0
EXC
52%
26%
21%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1983 |
NAC
1 - 1
GRO
36%
27%
37%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1983 |
HFC
3 - 2
NAC
63%
22%
16%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |