NEC Nijmegen vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
18.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1973 |
GRO
1 - 1
NEC
41%
29%
30%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1973 |
NEC
2 - 3
FEY
16%
25%
59%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1973 |
UTR
2 - 0
NEC
53%
24%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1972 |
NEC
1 - 1
PSV
34%
28%
38%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1972 |
GAE
0 - 1
NEC
60%
23%
18%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1973 |
NAC
1 - 2
PSV
32%
28%
41%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1973 |
GAE
3 - 0
NAC
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1973 |
AMS
0 - 0
NAC
66%
20%
15%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1972 |
NAC
1 - 1
HFC
68%
20%
12%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1972 |
AZA
2 - 2
NAC
39%
28%
32%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |