NEC Nijmegen vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
17.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
EIN
2 - 3
NEC
29%
24%
47%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
AZA
0 - 1
NEC
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
VIT
2 - 2
NEC
41%
28%
31%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
NEC
1 - 1
VVV
49%
26%
26%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
RJC
1 - 0
NEC
39%
28%
33%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
HER
1 - 0
RKC
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
HER
1 - 1
SPA
39%
25%
36%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
VVV
1 - 0
HER
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
HER
0 - 3
AJA
13%
19%
68%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
WIL
0 - 1
HER
52%
23%
24%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |