NEC Nijmegen vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
24.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2006 |
NEC
0 - 2
AZA
21%
23%
57%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2006 |
RBC
2 - 0
NEC
22%
25%
52%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2006 |
NEC
0 - 3
TWE
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
UTR
1 - 1
NEC
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
NEC
1 - 2
FEY
15%
22%
63%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
TWE
2 - 0
HER
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
HER
1 - 3
AJA
18%
22%
60%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
HER
1 - 3
ADO
59%
22%
19%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
PSV
1 - 0
HER
74%
17%
10%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
HER
1 - 1
SCH
38%
26%
36%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |