NEC Nijmegen vs Heerenveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
38.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
RJC
0 - 0
NEC
33%
25%
42%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
WIL
0 - 1
NEC
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
NEC
0 - 2
AJA
27%
24%
50%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
HER
3 - 0
NEC
34%
25%
41%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
NEC
1 - 0
EXC
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
GRO
3 - 1
SCH
40%
25%
35%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
SCH
1 - 1
ZWO
52%
23%
24%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
SCH
1 - 1
PSV
35%
24%
42%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
UTR
1 - 1
SCH
35%
25%
40%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
SCH
3 - 1
GRA
75%
16%
9%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |