NEC Nijmegen vs Heerenveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
41.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
ZWO
2 - 1
NEC
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
NEC
4 - 0
UTR
31%
26%
43%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +2 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
GRO
2 - 0
NEC
45%
27%
29%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2004 |
SPA
3 - 2
NEC
57%
22%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
RKC
1 - 2
NEC
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2004 |
SCH
4 - 1
AJA
25%
24%
51%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
SCH
3 - 2
PSV
25%
24%
51%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
SCH
1 - 1
WIL
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2004 |
RKC
0 - 0
SCH
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
SCH
3 - 4
NAC
54%
24%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |