NEC Nijmegen vs HFC Haarlem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
15%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1977 |
AZA
4 - 1
NEC
65%
20%
14%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1977 |
NEC
0 - 0
GRA
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1977 |
NEC
2 - 0
EIN
64%
22%
14%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1977 |
RJC
1 - 0
NEC
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
NEC
1 - 1
AMS
55%
25%
21%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
HFC Haarlem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1977 |
HFC
2 - 0
RJC
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
AMS
1 - 0
HFC
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
HFC
0 - 3
FEY
18%
23%
59%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1977 |
GAE
2 - 1
HFC
62%
23%
15%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
HFC
0 - 1
TEL
49%
26%
26%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |