NEC Nijmegen vs HFC Haarlem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
14.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1971 |
SHS
1 - 0
NEC
57%
25%
19%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1971 |
NEC
1 - 0
FEY
15%
24%
61%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 1971 |
UTR
3 - 0
NEC
67%
21%
13%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1971 |
AJA
4 - 1
NEC
90%
8%
3%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1970 |
NEC
1 - 1
NAC
49%
27%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
HFC Haarlem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1971 |
HFC
0 - 1
FEY
9%
16%
74%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1971 |
ADO
6 - 0
HFC
76%
15%
9%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1971 |
HFC
1 - 1
MVV
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1971 |
HFC
0 - 0
GAE
35%
30%
36%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1970 |
UTR
1 - 0
HFC
72%
18%
11%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |