NEC Nijmegen vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
FCO
1 - 2
NEC
27%
25%
49%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
NEC
1 - 0
SPA
72%
17%
11%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
MVV
1 - 4
NEC
18%
23%
59%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2015 |
NEC
7 - 0
VOL
58%
21%
21%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
NEC
2 - 0
TEL
82%
13%
6%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
GRA
0 - 2
VOL
41%
23%
36%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
HEL
2 - 1
GRA
27%
25%
48%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
GRA
3 - 0
JON
59%
21%
20%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2015 |
ALM
2 - 2
GRA
38%
26%
36%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
GRA
5 - 0
PSV
65%
20%
15%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |