NEC Nijmegen vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
NEC
0 - 3
FOR
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1998 |
NEC
1 - 1
RKC
75%
16%
9%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1998 |
WIL
1 - 0
NEC
66%
20%
15%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
FEY
1 - 0
NEC
76%
15%
9%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 1998 |
NEC
3 - 1
SPA
60%
21%
19%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1998 |
GRA
1 - 1
AZA
42%
26%
33%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
GRA
0 - 1
NAC
57%
22%
21%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
UTR
2 - 1
GRA
62%
21%
17%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1998 |
PSV
2 - 2
GRA
86%
10%
4%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1998 |
GRA
1 - 1
SCH
30%
24%
46%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |