NEC Nijmegen vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
9.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1982 |
TWE
0 - 2
NEC
78%
15%
7%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1982 |
NEC
3 - 1
ZWO
55%
25%
21%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1982 |
WIL
2 - 2
NEC
68%
20%
13%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1982 |
NEC
5 - 1
FEY
14%
23%
63%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | +3 |
| 17 Apr. 1982 |
MVV
1 - 1
NEC
64%
22%
14%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1982 |
GRA
1 - 2
HFC
37%
29%
34%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1982 |
AZA
4 - 0
GRA
87%
9%
4%
|
54 | 88 | 34 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1982 |
GRA
2 - 4
RJC
36%
28%
36%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1982 |
UTR
5 - 0
GRA
80%
14%
6%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1982 |
GRA
1 - 4
GAE
39%
27%
34%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |