NEC Nijmegen vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
15.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1977 |
NEC
2 - 0
EIN
64%
22%
14%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1977 |
RJC
1 - 0
NEC
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
NEC
1 - 1
AMS
55%
25%
21%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1977 |
FEY
2 - 0
NEC
84%
11%
5%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 1977 |
NEC
2 - 1
GAE
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
GRA
2 - 2
RJC
41%
28%
31%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1977 |
AMS
2 - 1
GRA
59%
23%
17%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
GRA
2 - 2
FEY
19%
23%
59%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1977 |
GAE
0 - 1
GRA
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1977 |
GRA
0 - 0
TEL
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |