NEC Nijmegen vs Go Ahead Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
24.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
FEY
2 - 2
NEC
69%
18%
13%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2024 |
NEC
2 - 0
F95
37%
23%
40%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
GVV
1 - 6
NEC
14%
19%
68%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
NEC
4 - 1
FOR
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
ZWO
1 - 3
NEC
39%
26%
36%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
GAE
2 - 3
AJA
19%
21%
60%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
MON
3 - 2
GAE
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2023 |
GAE
7 - 1
DET
78%
15%
7%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
EXC
1 - 1
GAE
32%
26%
42%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
GAE
0 - 2
UTR
34%
25%
41%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |