NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
22.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2018 |
NEC
1 - 5
FCO
70%
19%
11%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
TEL
0 - 3
NEC
21%
23%
56%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
NEC
0 - 1
EIN
73%
18%
9%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
ALM
1 - 0
NEC
27%
24%
49%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
NEC
1 - 1
GAE
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
VIT
2 - 1
FOR
68%
19%
13%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
FOR
3 - 1
GRA
43%
24%
33%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
FCE
3 - 3
FOR
39%
26%
35%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
FOR
0 - 2
AJA
9%
17%
74%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
HEL
0 - 5
FOR
15%
18%
66%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | +1 |