NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.6%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
23.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1986 |
MVV
0 - 1
NEC
60%
24%
16%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1986 |
NEC
1 - 2
UTR
47%
28%
25%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
GRO
2 - 0
NEC
80%
13%
7%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1986 |
NEC
3 - 1
FEY
9%
19%
72%
|
53 | 85 | 32 | +3 |
| 05 Apr. 1986 |
NEC
1 - 2
BOS
40%
28%
32%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1986 |
HER
0 - 3
FOR
45%
28%
28%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1986 |
FOR
2 - 2
PSV
18%
24%
58%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
BOS
2 - 2
FOR
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1986 |
FOR
4 - 0
HFC
50%
26%
25%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1986 |
UTR
1 - 0
FOR
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |