NEC Nijmegen vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
22.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
7º
16º
8º
24
9º
17º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 76 |
1º
|
60% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 72 |
2º
|
49% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 66 |
3º
|
41% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 63 |
4º
|
32.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 61 |
5º
|
26% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 59 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 51 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
|
11º
|
24 | 45 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
24 | 42 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 41 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 41 |
11º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 40 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 38 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 36 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 35 |
15º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 35 |
16º
|
23.5% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 26 |
17º
|
65.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 19 |
18º
|
86% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
43% | 17.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
54.5% | 78% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2% | 4.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
AZA
1 - 0
NEC
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
NEC
1 - 2
TWE
31%
24%
45%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
NEC
1 - 1
LHA
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
NEC
0 - 2
OLP
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
NEC
0 - 1
HER
47%
22%
30%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ZWO
1 - 5
FEY
19%
21%
60%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
UTR
1 - 0
ZWO
58%
22%
21%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
ZWO
1 - 2
VNZ
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
ZWO
5 - 0
GRA
51%
23%
27%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
SCH
5 - 2
ZWO
47%
23%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |