NEC Nijmegen vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
22.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
7º
14º
7º
4
11º
17º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 70 |
1º
|
39% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 67 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 66 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 61 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 60 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 59 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
6 | 52 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 48 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 46 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 45 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
|
14º
|
4 | 41 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 41 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 40 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 34 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 34 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 31 |
16º
|
16% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 27 |
17º
|
25.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 25 |
18º
|
40.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
1.5% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
6.5% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
51% | 12.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
36.5% | 74.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 7% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 6% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
AZA
1 - 0
NEC
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
NEC
1 - 2
TWE
31%
24%
45%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
NEC
1 - 1
LHA
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
NEC
0 - 2
OLP
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
NEC
0 - 1
HER
47%
22%
30%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ZWO
1 - 5
FEY
19%
21%
60%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
UTR
1 - 0
ZWO
58%
22%
21%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
ZWO
1 - 2
VNZ
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
ZWO
5 - 0
GRA
51%
23%
27%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
SCH
5 - 2
ZWO
47%
23%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |