NEC Nijmegen vs FC Volendam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
27.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
ADO
1 - 0
NEC
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
NEC
0 - 1
VIT
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
NEC
0 - 2
PSV
14%
22%
64%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
RKC
2 - 0
NEC
54%
23%
23%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 4
NEC
22%
23%
55%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
FC Volendam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2011 |
VOL
6 - 1
APE
72%
17%
11%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
BOS
1 - 2
VOL
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
VOL
3 - 2
FOR
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
FCE
0 - 4
VOL
22%
23%
55%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
UNA
1 - 3
VOL
16%
20%
64%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |