NEC Nijmegen vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
45%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
5º
13º
6º
50
7º
18º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
91 | 91 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
84 | 84 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
18º
|
6 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
19 | 19 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
PSV
4 - 0
NEC
75%
15%
9%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
SPA
1 - 1
NEC
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
NEC
3 - 0
RKC
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
HER
2 - 1
NEC
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
NEC
3 - 4
EXC
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
HER
1 - 3
UTR
39%
24%
37%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
UTR
1 - 5
FEY
20%
22%
58%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ZWO
1 - 0
UTR
30%
24%
46%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
UTR
0 - 2
SCH
55%
23%
21%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
PSV
2 - 0
UTR
65%
19%
16%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |