NEC Nijmegen vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
42.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
GRO
2 - 0
NEC
45%
27%
29%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2004 |
SPA
3 - 2
NEC
57%
22%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
RKC
1 - 2
NEC
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2004 |
NEC
1 - 2
FEY
17%
23%
60%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
AJA
1 - 0
NEC
80%
13%
7%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2004 |
UTR
2 - 2
WIL
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2004 |
UTR
3 - 2
HER
68%
18%
14%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
ZWO
1 - 1
UTR
24%
25%
51%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2004 |
UTR
0 - 1
RBC
67%
19%
14%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
FEY
3 - 2
UTR
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |