NEC Nijmegen vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
29.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1973 |
PSV
2 - 0
NEC
65%
22%
14%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1973 |
NEC
1 - 1
GAE
51%
26%
23%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1973 |
AMS
1 - 1
NEC
57%
23%
21%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1973 |
NEC
2 - 1
HFC
67%
21%
12%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1973 |
AZA
0 - 0
NEC
39%
30%
32%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1973 |
UTR
1 - 1
ADO
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1973 |
UTR
1 - 1
PSV
36%
23%
41%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1973 |
BOS
3 - 0
UTR
26%
27%
48%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1973 |
UTR
1 - 0
GAE
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1973 |
TWE
3 - 1
UTR
68%
17%
15%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |