NEC Nijmegen vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
33.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1970 |
HFC
1 - 1
NEC
50%
28%
22%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1970 |
NEC
0 - 0
AJA
14%
23%
64%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1970 |
MVV
1 - 1
NEC
56%
26%
18%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1970 |
NEC
0 - 3
ADO
31%
29%
40%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1970 |
SVV
4 - 2
NEC
52%
27%
22%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1970 |
UTR
4 - 1
GAE
52%
21%
27%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1970 |
FEY
4 - 1
UTR
79%
12%
8%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |