NEC Nijmegen vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
44.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
7º
14º
7º
5
5º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 72 |
1º
|
51% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 66 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 65 |
3º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 63 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
5 | 59 |
5º
|
20% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 59 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
|
8º
|
6 | 51 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 48 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 46 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 46 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 41 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 40 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 38 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 36 |
14º
|
11.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 34 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 31 |
16º
|
17% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 26 |
17º
|
22.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 25 |
18º
|
45% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0.5% | 2.5% |
|
Champions League
|
1% | 10% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
2% | 10.5% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
6.5% | 13.5% |
|
Next round
|
52% | 52.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
37% | 11% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
NEC
1 - 1
LHA
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
NEC
0 - 2
OLP
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
NEC
0 - 1
HER
47%
22%
30%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
NEC
1 - 2
SDL
54%
22%
24%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2024 |
NEC
1 - 2
GAE
59%
21%
20%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
RBS
2 - 1
TWE
29%
24%
47%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
TWE
0 - 0
S04
67%
19%
15%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
HAN
3 - 3
TWE
21%
23%
56%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
TWE
2 - 2
STR
64%
20%
16%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
TWE
2 - 2
MHE
74%
17%
9%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |