NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1981 |
EXC
2 - 0
NEC
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1981 |
NAC
4 - 0
NEC
58%
25%
18%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1981 |
WAG
1 - 1
NEC
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1981 |
NEC
2 - 2
RJC
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1980 |
GAE
3 - 1
NEC
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1981 |
GRO
4 - 2
ZWO
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1981 |
GRO
0 - 1
ADO
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1981 |
SPA
2 - 2
GRO
69%
19%
13%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1981 |
GRO
2 - 2
EXC
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1981 |
GRO
1 - 1
UTR
43%
27%
31%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | +1 |