NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
18.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1974 |
RJC
1 - 1
NEC
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1974 |
NEC
0 - 0
ADO
40%
28%
32%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1974 |
TEL
2 - 1
NEC
58%
25%
18%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
NEC
2 - 1
SPA
24%
26%
51%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 1974 |
GRA
1 - 0
NEC
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1974 |
GRO
1 - 2
AMS
42%
28%
30%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1974 |
GRO
1 - 0
GAE
44%
28%
28%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1974 |
RJC
1 - 0
GRO
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
GRO
2 - 2
ADO
39%
29%
32%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1974 |
TEL
3 - 0
GRO
61%
23%
17%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |